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Catastrophe modeling : ウィキペディア英語版
Catastrophe modeling

:''This article refers to the use of computers to estimate losses caused by disasters. For other meanings of the word catastrophe, including catastrophe theory in mathematics, see catastrophe (disambiguation).''
Catastrophe modeling (also known as cat modeling) is the process of using computer-assisted calculations to estimate the losses that could be sustained due to a catastrophic event such as a hurricane or earthquake. Cat modeling is especially applicable to analyzing risks in the insurance industry and is at the confluence of actuarial science, engineering, meteorology, and seismology.
== Perils analyzed ==
Natural catastrophes (sometimes referred to as "nat cat") include:
* hurricane (main peril is wind damage; some models can also include storm surge)
* earthquake (main peril is ground shaking; some models can also include tsunami, fire following earthquakes, and sprinkler leakage damage)
* severe thunderstorm (main perils are tornado and hail)
* flood
* extratropical cyclone
* wildfire
* winter storm
Human catastrophes include:
* terrorism events
* warfare
* Casualty/liability events
* Displacement Crises〔See: Edwards, Scott. ''The Chaos of Forced Migration: A Means of Modeling Complexity for Humanitarian Ends''〕

抄文引用元・出典: フリー百科事典『 ウィキペディア(Wikipedia)
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